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DEBT MANAGEMENT UPDATE 12.10.2024Member NYSE|FINRA|SIPC December 10, 2024 City of Virginia Beach, Virginia Financial State of the City Davenport & Company LLC (“Davenport”) serves as Financial Advisor to the City of Virginia Beach (the “City”). Davenport serves as Financial Advisor to the City in the following ways, amongst others: –Reports to the City Council and Senior City Leadership; –Complements City Staff with annual Budgetary Planning, Capital Planning, and general Financial Planning; and, –Interacts with the National Credit Rating Agencies, Banks, and Brokerages on behalf of the City. Davenport does not: –Determine which projects will be financed; –Underwrite any bond issues or lend the City any money; or –Hold a financial interest in how a project is funded. Roughly one year ago, Davenport presented a Comprehensive Debt Management Update to brief the City Council on an array of capital funding scenarios focused on debt capacity and debt affordability. These discussions led to a strategic Plan of Finance. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 1 Introduction Davenport advised the City through the successful issuance of bonds in support of the CIP and for refinancing / debt service savings purposes. A high-level summary of the debt issuances from early calendar year 2024 is below: General Obligation Bonds: Public Facility Revenue Bonds: December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 2 Introduction (cont.) Series Amount ($)Purpose TIC ("Interest Rate") Refunding Savings ($) 2024A 143,260,000 General Capital / Schools 3.40%-- 2024B 118,000,000 Flood Protection Program 3.41%-- 2024C 39,130,000 Refunding 2.80%3,348,121 Total 300,390,000 Series Amount ($)Purpose TIC ("Interest Rate") Refunding Savings ($) 2024A 33,435,000 Tax-Eempt Econ. Dev. / Schools 3.55%-- 2024B 27,225,000 Refunding 2.95%1,349,575 2024C 128,070,000 Taxable Econ. Dev.5.04%-- Total 188,730,000 December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 3 Credit Rating Overview The City enjoys ‘Aaa’ credit ratings from all three of the National Credit Rating Agencies. These credit ratings were affirmed as part of the issuance process earlier this calendar year. ‘Aaa’ credit ratings are the highest possible credit ratings a local government can achieve. Credit ratings serve as a barometer for the Financial, Economic, Demographic, and Management standing of the City. Top Tier “Highest Possible Rating” 2nd Tier “Very Strong” 3rd Tier “Strong” 4th Tier “Adequate Capacity to Repay” 5th – 10 th Tiers “Below Investment Grade” Considered Investment Grade Below Investment Grade Moody's S&P Aaa AAA Aa1 AA+(Highest) Aa2 AA (Middle) Aa3 AA-(Lowest) A1 A+(Highest) A2 A (Middle) A3 A -(Lowest) Baa1 BBB+(Highest) Baa2 BBB (Middle) Baa3 BBB-(Lowest) BB, B, CCC, CC, C, D Fitch AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A A - BBB+ BBB BBB- December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 4 Rating Agency Commentary | Moody’s Report May 3, 2024 “The credit profile of Virginia Beach, VA (Aaa stable) is sound, and reflects the city's solid economy, anchored by several military bases, and steady tourism.” “Credit Strengths –Sizeable and diverse local economy that benefits from stabilizing institutional presence. –Healthy property wealth levels and above-average growth of taxable base. –Comprehensive financial policies and conservative budgeting practices.” “Credit challenges –Reserve and liquidity levels are below those of similarly rated cities nationwide (as a percentage of revenues). –Some exposure to funding reductions/cuts at the federal level, specifically department of defense.” “The city's financial position is strong and is expected to remain so given strong revenue growth, conservative budgeting and prudent management of expenditures. Reserves have largely increased in line with revenues and the city's operations, net of transfers to the capital fund, have consistently been structurally balanced.” “Virginia Beach's long-term liabilities are manageable and despite a robust six-year capital improvement program (CIP), are expected to remain so given management's strict adherence to formal debt policies as well as rapid amortization of principal.” Source: Moody’s Rating Report published as of May 3rd, 2024. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 5 Rating Agency Commentary | S&P Report May 2, 2024 S&P affirmed the City’s ‘AAA’ (Stable) credit rating. “The city's large, diverse, high-value property tax base and, what we consider, strong finances, achieving balanced current fund operations, support the rating.” The rating reflects S&P’s assessment of the following factors for the City of Virginia Beach: –“Affluent, expanding community within the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News metropolitan statistical area with several ongoing housing; industrial; and commercial projects, supporting our view of a very strong economy; –Very strong management with strong financial-management policies, practices under our Financial Management Assessment (FMA) methodology, with a focus on long-term planning, and very strong Institutional Framework score; –Positive operations expected in fiscal 2023 and projected for fiscal 2024, supporting very strong budgetary flexibility and liquidity; and –Manageable debt and robust roughly $1.7 billion capital-improvement plan that focuses on resiliency and other necessary capital projects--Pension and other postemployment benefit (OPEB) costs remain manageable and do not pressure operations.” Source: S&P Rating Report published as of May 2nd, 2024. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 6 Rating Agency Commentary | Fitch Report May 6, 2024 “The City's 'AAA’ Issuer Default Rating and GO rating reflects the city 's historically strong operating performance…Fitch's expects Virginia Beach will continue to maintain healthy financial flexibility throughout economic cycles.” “Demographic and economic trend metrics are considered 'strong' by Fitch, as demonstrated by a low unemployment rate relative to the national average, high level of educational attainment and median household income levels.” “The ratings also incorporate the city's relatively stable revenue and population trends and midrange long- term liability burden.” “The ratings additionally reflect the application of one positive analytical factor that recognizes the city's role as the center of an important and growing MSA in the Commonwealth of Virginia that makes a notable contribution to the national economy.” “Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating Action/Downgrade –An approximate 40% increase in long term liabilities without a commensurate growth in personal income or governmental resources. –Although not expected, a sustained decline in available general fund balance below 7.5%of spending would reduce the city's financial resilience assessment to 'aa' from 'aaa'. –A material erosion of the city's demographic and economic trends and levels prospects.” Source: Fitch Rating Report published as of May 6th, 2024. The City has experienced multiple years of strong financial results driven by the health, stability, and growth of the national and regional economy. General fund revenues have grown roughly 5.0% annually, on average, over the last six fiscal years (FY 2019 – FY 2024(1)). General fund expenditures have grown roughly 4.7% annually, on average, over the last six fiscal years (FY 2019 – FY 2024(1)). The City’s Unassigned Fund Balance continues to be in compliance with the City’s Adopted Financial Policies. As the national economic outlook continues to evolve, it will continue to be integral to maintain structural balance (i.e. recurring revenues meeting / exceeding recurring expenditures). December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 7 Financial Management Summary (1) FY 2024 estimates reflects draft audited financials. Preliminary, subject to change. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 8 Unassigned Fund Balance – Financial Policy Compliance Following the Government Finance Officers Association recommendation that general purpose governments maintain Unassigned Fund Balance in their General Fund of no less than 5% to 15% of regular General Fund operating revenues, the City shall maintain an Unassigned Fund Balance of 8% to 12% of the following year’s projected revenues. This level equates to approximately one month of operating expenses. Unassigned Fund Balance Policy Source: Historical City Audits and Budgets. (1) FY 2024 estimates reflects draft audited financials. Preliminary, subject to change. Unassigned FB FY 2024 ($) Figure: ~$186 million(1) 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 2019 Audited 2020 Audited 2021 Audited 2022 Audited 2023 Audited 2024 Draft Audit¹ Unassigned as a % of Revenues Reserve Policy - Lower Bound (8%) Reserve Policy - Upper Bound (12%) December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 9 Peer Comparative – Unassigned Fund Balance vs. Revenue Source: Respective City 2023 Audits. (1) FY 2024 estimate. Preliminary, subject to change. Note: Revenues comprise of General Fund Revenues plus School Fund Revenues (excluding Transfers from the General Fund). Credit Rating Key: (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch) 12.6% 18.3% 8.0% 8.1% 10.9% 17.1% 19.5% 25.0% 25.7% 44.3% 0%5%10%15%20%25%30% Virginia Beach¹ Hampton Roads Cities Median Chesapeake (Aaa/AAA/AAA) Norfolk (Aa2/AAA/AA+) Newport News (Aa1/AA+/NR) Hampton (Aa1/AA+/AA) Poquoson (Aa2/AAA/NR) Suffolk (Aaa/AAA/AAA) Portsmouth (Aa2/AA+/AA-) Williamsburg (Aa1/AAA/NR) Unassigned Fund Balance vs. Revenues December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 10 Tax-Supported Debt Profile Source: Davenport Debt Model As of FY 2025 (July 1, 2024), the City had roughly $1.1 billion of Tax-Supported debt outstanding (including $118 million of Flood Protection Program debt). All of the City’s outstanding debt is fixed-rate. The City’s 10-year Payout Ratio is approximately 68%. $- $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $140.0 $160.0 20252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044Millions Principal Interest December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 11 Debt Management Financial Policies The City has several Debt Management Financial Policies which were most recently updated in the early part of calendar year 2023. These policies are summarized below: Policy/Metric Existing Policy Net Debt to Assessed Real Estate Value Not to exceed 3.0%. Debt Service to General Government Expenditures Not to exceed 10.0%. Fixed Costs to General Government Expenditures Not to exceed 20.0%. 10-Year Payout Ratio Remain above 50%. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 12 Debt Capacity | Issuance Assumptions The table below highlights the estimated amount and timing of debt for the City’s three (3) tax-supported borrowing programs in support of the City’s CIP over the next six fiscal years. The debt issuances translate into debt service payments which affect the City’s operating budget. The issuance schedule is directly affected by the City’s cash flow spending to fund approved CIP projects. The estimated schedule was developed in concert with City Finance & Budget Staff using historical results and future projections. FY Charter PFRB Flood Total 2025 -$ -$ -$ -$ 2026 120,820,635 121,239,294 150,970,927 393,030,856 2027 - - - - 2028 175,820,635 176,239,294 298,529,073 650,589,002 2029 - - - - 2030 145,820,635 186,239,294 - 332,059,929 2031 - - - - Total 442,461,905$ 483,717,882$ 449,500,000$ 1,375,679,787$ December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 13 Debt Capacity | Financial Policy Projections Debt vs. Assessed Value Debt Service vs. Budget 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Existing Tax-Supported Debt vs. AV Projected Charter Debt vs. AV Projected PFRB Debt vs. AV Projected Flood Debt vs. AV Debt Policy Limit (3.0%) 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Existing Tax-Supported DS vs. Budget Projected Charter DS vs. Budget Projected PFRB DS vs. Budget Projected Flood DS vs. Budget Debt Service Policy Limit (10%) Estimated results are preliminary, subject to change. Note: Assessed Value is assumed to grow annually at 3.0%.Note: Budget is assumed to grow annually at 3.0%. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 14 Debt Capacity | Financial Policy Projections (cont.) Fixed Costs Ratio Payout Ratio Estimated results are preliminary, subject to change. 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Existing Tax-Supported DS Projected Pension Cost Projected OPEB Cost Projected Charter DS Projected PFRB DS Projected Flood DS Fixed Costs Policy Limit (20%) 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Existing 10 Year Payout Ratio Projected 10 Year Payout Ratio Minimum 10 Year Payout Ratio (50%) Note: Budget is assumed to grow annually at 3.0%. Pension and OPEB Expenses are assumed to grow annually at 3.5%. The City’s financial standing is very strong as described by the independent credit rating agencies. The City is in the process of undertaking a generational amount of capital investment as evidenced by the Flood Protection Program as well as capital projects affected by inflationary pressures. Based on current assumptions, the City has additional debt capacity (as measured against the City’s adopted Debt Management Financial Policies), however, the repayment of the incremental additional debt (i.e. debt affordability) will need to be pro-actively addressed during the annual budget process. A key component of maintaining the strength and sustainability of the City’s finances while undertaking its capital program will be revenue growth commensurate with, at a minimum, debt service and expenditures. Davenport, in concert with the City’s Senior Administration, will continue to monitor and evaluate the City’s debt capacity and debt affordability as City Council determines its capital funding priorities. December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 15 Concluding Observations December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 16 Next Steps Timing Action Tuesday, December 10, 2024 Davenport to present Financial State of the City briefing to City Council. Balance of 2024 City Council to provide feedback and request any supplemental additional information from City Staff and Davenport. January, 2025 City Council to evaluate capital funding priorities and goals in anticipation of the FY 2026 Budget and Capital Improvement Program process. Spring, 2025 Davenport to analyze additional capital funding scenarios based on direction received from City Council and Senior City Leadership (as required). Appendix City of Virginia Beach, Virginia December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 17 December 10, 2024 Financial State of the City 18 Key Drivers to a Credit Rating [Moody’s = 10% / S&P = 20%] Financial Forecasting and management Consistent and prudent budgeting practices Range and growth of services provided in relation to capacity to provide services Adherence to long-range financial planning and policies Revenue & Expenditure structure and patterns Annual Operating & Budgetary performance Financial flexibility/Fund Balance position Long-Term Financial Plan Nature of the pledged security & debt structure Balance between accelerated debt issuance and under-investment in capital facilities Debt Burden measured against: Tax Base & Total Budget Demographic Characteristics Tax Base Industry Mix & Composition Local and Regional Growth patterns [Moody’s = 30% / S&P = 20% / Fitch = 44%] Note: %’s are from Moody’s updated methodology November 2022/ S&P updated methodology September 2024 / Fitch updated methodology April 2024. [Moody’s = 30% / S&P = 20% / Fitch = 21%] [Moody’s = 30% / S&P = 40% / Fitch = 35%] Economic Base Financial Performance & Flexibility ManagementDebt The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) has clarified that a broker, dealer or municipal securities dealer engaging in municipal advisory activities outside the scope of underwriting a particular issuance of municipal securities should be subject to municipal advisor registration. Davenport & Company LLC (“Davenport”) has registered as a municipal advisor with the SEC. As a registered municipal advisor Davenport may provide advice to a municipal entity or obligated person. An obligated person is an entity other than a municipal entity, such as a not for profit corporation, that has commenced an application or negotiation with an entity to issue municipal securities on its behalf and for which it will provide support. If and when an issuer engages Davenport to provide financial advisory or consultant services with respect to the issuance of municipal securities, Davenport is obligated to evidence such a financial advisory relationship with a written agreement. When acting as a registered municipal advisor Davenport is a fiduciary required by federal law to act in the best interest of a municipal entity without regard to its own financial or other interests. Davenport is not a fiduciary when it acts as a registered investment advisor, when advising an obligated person, or when acting as an underwriter, though it is required to deal fairly with such persons, This material was prepared by public finance, or other non-research personnel of Davenport. This material was not produced by a research analyst, although it may refer to a Davenport research analyst or research report. 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Actual events may differ from those assumed and changes to any assumptions may have a material impact on any projections or estimates. Other events not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the projections or estimates. Certain assumptions may have been made for modeling purposes or to simplify the presentation and/or calculation of any projections or estimates, and Davenport does not represent that any such assumptions will reflect actual future events. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that estimated returns or projections will be realized or that actual returns or performance results will not materially differ from those estimated herein. This material may not be sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of Davenport. Version 01.01.2024 HP | AS | KL | DR Financial State of the City Disclaimer 19December 10, 2024